What to anticipate with the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)
Jun 27, 2025
Key Provisions in the Amended Bill
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SALT Cap Raised: State and local tax deduction cap raised to $40,000 (temporary, first five years)
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Tax Breaks: Deductions for overtime and tips; expanded child tax credit ($2,200 per child); auto loan interest deduction on U.S.-assembled cars
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Senior Tax Relief: A $6,000 (individual) / $12,000 (joint) deduction for seniors phased out above certain incomes—this helps many avoid federal tax on Social Security, but doesn't repeal it entirely
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Debt Ceiling Included: Bill also raises the debt limit by up to $5 trillion via budget reconciliation to avoid partisan gridlock
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Spending Changes:
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Massive allocations to border security and ICE, including tens of billions for deportation infrastructure
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Major Coast Guard and Arctic security funding – largest in U.S. history
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Defense, missile defense (“Golden Dome”) and agriculture provisions included
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Health and Social Program Cuts:
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Projected Medicaid and SNAP reductions
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Reduced funding for clean energy credits, student loans, and public health programs
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Fiscal Impact: Revised estimates put the bill's added deficit impact at $2.8–3.4 trillion over 10+ years
What to Expect Next
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IRS will roll out new tax deduction rules for tips, overtime, senior taxpayers, child tax credits, and auto-loan interest.
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Social Security Administration communications may still be confusing—recipients should note deductions help offset, but do not repeal, Social Security tax liability
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Federal agencies and Postal Service, Coast Guard, ICE and DHS will execute major hiring and operational expansions.
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SOCIAL SECURITY: What the Bill Really Does (and Doesn’t)
What’s Included:
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A new “Senior Tax Relief Deduction”:
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$6,000 for single filers / $12,000 for married couples, phased out above ~$100,000 (single) / ~$200,000 (joint).
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Designed to offset taxes on Social Security benefits, but does not repeal those taxes.
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Applies on top of the standard deduction—effectively increasing the amount of income a retiree can receive before paying federal tax.
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What It Doesn’t Do:
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Social Security benefits are still subject to taxation—up to 85% depending on total income (combined income includes AGI + nontaxable interest + ½ of Social Security)
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The taxability thresholds—$25,000 single / $32,000 joint—were not indexed to inflation or changed
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This deduction is temporary and is set to sunset in 2028, unless it is extended
Planning Insight:
If you have multiple income streams in retirement (RMDs, investment income, rental income, etc), this deduction is helpful—but not a panacea. It may create a narrow 3-year window to:
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Optimize Roth conversions
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Trigger strategic capital gains
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Shift charitable giving into high-deduction years
We may also see increased tax bracket “cliffs” due to the phaseout ranges—requiring even tighter coordination of income timing.
OTHER FINANCIAL IMPACTS
1. Expanded Child Tax Credit (CTC)
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Raised to $2,200 per child under 17
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Begins phasing out for incomes above $400,000 (joint)
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Not refundable, so planning is key to optimizing timing and AGI thresholds
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Useful for high-income taxpayers who still have dependent children or support grandchildren
2. Auto Loan Interest Deduction
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Only applies to loans on vehicles assembled in the U.S.
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Could be worth up to $1,500+ in deductions per household, especially for families buying luxury U.S.-assembled vehicles
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Creates an incentive to accelerate auto purchases into 2025–2026 under current rules
3. OT & Tip Income Deductibility
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Could be valuable for heirs, younger family members, or business owners employing W-2 workers
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Consider shifting compensation structures in family businesses to take advantage of this
ESTATE & INCOME TAX STRATEGY SHIFTS
Temporary SALT Cap Increase
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Cap lifted to $40,000 (up from $10,000) for itemizers through 2030
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Opens the door for:
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Charitable bunching + SALT deduction stacking
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High-property-tax strategies for real estate-heavy clients
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Multi-entity structuring for layered deduction harvesting (particularly in states like CA, NJ, NY)
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Seniors: Plan for the 2028 Cliff
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Use the 2025–2028 period to pull forward income into the deduction window
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Consider delaying claiming Social Security if you are not yet receiving benefits—let the 2028 sunset play out before electing
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Integrate donor-advised funds and QCDs more aggressively
RISKS & HEADWINDS
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Medicaid/SNAP funding cuts could impact extended families or philanthropic goals
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Rising deficits may increase future taxes—bolstering the case for today’s Roth conversion strategies
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Political uncertainty surrounding the bill’s long-term viability means flexibility is essential
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Credit markets may react to increased federal borrowing, affecting real estate and private credit yield curves
Summary: Strategic Action Steps
Strategy Why It Matters Review Social Security claiming plans New deduction offers temporary planning window Accelerate Roth conversions (2025–2028) Lock in low brackets + tax-free growth Utilize bunching strategies Combine SALT, charitable, and income timing for big deduction years Reassess income timing for retirees Minimize Medicare IRMAA and leverage new deduction phaseouts Update multi-year tax projections Especially for family offices and complex income families Consider U.S.-assembled vehicle purchases sooner Maximize the limited-time loan interest deduction -